Theory of Change
Open Source Tools for Climate Adaptation & Resilience
Our Theory of Change maps how OSCAR transforms inputs into measurable global impact, creating a clear pathway from resources and activities to climate resilience outcomes that benefit millions of people worldwide.
OSCAR's Theory of Change
A clear pathway from inputs to global impact, showing how OSCAR creates measurable change in climate adaptation and resilience worldwide.
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Inputs
Resources and partnerships that enable OSCAR's work
Funding & Resources
Philanthropic funding, government support, and in-kind contributions from technology partners enable OSCAR's development and operations.
Strategic Partnerships
Collaborations with UNDP, Resilient Cities Network, technology companies, and academic institutions provide expertise and reach.
Open Source Code
Over $30M worth of existing OS-Climate code and infrastructure accelerates development and reduces costs by 60-75%.
Activities
What OSCAR does to create change
Tool Development
Building world-class climate adaptation tools including Chat-ARβ’, physical risk assessment, and data hub capabilities, with transition analysis tools planned for future releases.
Science-Policy Bridge
Connecting rapidly evolving climate science with A/R practitioners through accessible tools and training programs.
Capacity Building
Training programs, workshops, and documentation to help users effectively implement climate adaptation strategies.
Outputs
Direct products and services OSCAR delivers
Open Source Tools
Free, accessible climate adaptation tools including Chat-ARβ’, risk assessment tools, simulation capabilities, and data hub services.
Trained Users
Government agencies, NGOs, and organizations trained to use OSCAR tools effectively for climate adaptation planning.
Data & Insights
Climate risk assessments, adaptation strategies, and project proposals generated using OSCAR's tools and methodologies.
Outcomes
Intermediate changes in behavior and practice
Improved Planning
Governments and organizations develop higher-quality, data-driven climate adaptation plans and policies using OSCAR tools.
Bankable Projects
Increased number of climate adaptation projects that meet international funding standards and attract investment.
Enhanced Collaboration
Better coordination between scientific community, policymakers, and practitioners in climate adaptation efforts.
Impact
Long-term global changes and benefits
Lives Protected
250 million people positively impacted through improved climate adaptation plans and resilience measures.
Governments Supported
750+ national and subnational governments with improved A/R plans, policies, programs, and projects.
Investment Mobilized
$11+ billion in additional A/R investment mobilized through improved project proposals and planning.
Ecosystems Protected
Tens of millions of acres of threatened habitat and biodiversity preserved through better adaptation strategies.
Real-World Impact Examples

Community resilience in Bangladesh
These examples show how OSCAR's approach of combining open-source tools with local training and capacity building can create meaningful, lasting change in communities facing climate challenges.
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Emergency preparedness in Vietnam
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Water infrastructure in Madagascar