Theory of Change

Open Source Tools for Climate Adaptation & Resilience

Our Theory of Change maps how OSCAR transforms inputs into measurable global impact, creating a clear pathway from resources and activities to climate resilience outcomes that benefit millions of people worldwide.

OSCAR's Theory of Change

A clear pathway from inputs to global impact, showing how OSCAR creates measurable change in climate adaptation and resilience worldwide.

USAID promotes growing alternative staple crops in Kenya

Inputs

Resources and partnerships that enable OSCAR's work

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Funding & Resources

Philanthropic funding, government support, and in-kind contributions from technology partners enable OSCAR's development and operations.

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Strategic Partnerships

Collaborations with UNDP, Resilient Cities Network, technology companies, and academic institutions provide expertise and reach.

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Open Source Code

Over $30M worth of existing OS-Climate code and infrastructure accelerates development and reduces costs by 60-75%.

Activities

What OSCAR does to create change

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Tool Development

Building world-class climate adaptation tools including Chat-ARβ„’, physical risk assessment, and data hub capabilities, with transition analysis tools planned for future releases.

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Science-Policy Bridge

Connecting rapidly evolving climate science with A/R practitioners through accessible tools and training programs.

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Capacity Building

Training programs, workshops, and documentation to help users effectively implement climate adaptation strategies.

Outputs

Direct products and services OSCAR delivers

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Open Source Tools

Free, accessible climate adaptation tools including Chat-ARβ„’, risk assessment tools, simulation capabilities, and data hub services.

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Trained Users

Government agencies, NGOs, and organizations trained to use OSCAR tools effectively for climate adaptation planning.

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Data & Insights

Climate risk assessments, adaptation strategies, and project proposals generated using OSCAR's tools and methodologies.

Outcomes

Intermediate changes in behavior and practice

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Improved Planning

Governments and organizations develop higher-quality, data-driven climate adaptation plans and policies using OSCAR tools.

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Bankable Projects

Increased number of climate adaptation projects that meet international funding standards and attract investment.

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Enhanced Collaboration

Better coordination between scientific community, policymakers, and practitioners in climate adaptation efforts.

Impact

Long-term global changes and benefits

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Lives Protected

250 million people positively impacted through improved climate adaptation plans and resilience measures.

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Governments Supported

750+ national and subnational governments with improved A/R plans, policies, programs, and projects.

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Investment Mobilized

$11+ billion in additional A/R investment mobilized through improved project proposals and planning.

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Ecosystems Protected

Tens of millions of acres of threatened habitat and biodiversity preserved through better adaptation strategies.

Real-World Impact Examples

Young boy helping woman during flash flood in Sylhet, Bangladesh

Community resilience in Bangladesh

These examples show how OSCAR's approach of combining open-source tools with local training and capacity building can create meaningful, lasting change in communities facing climate challenges.

USAID and Save the Children support community evacuation drill in Vietnam

Emergency preparedness in Vietnam

USAID in Madagascar building water catchments

Water infrastructure in Madagascar